UFC Fight Night
Sep 12, 2026In 23 daysDesert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Tommy McMillen 13.5 SLpM, Marwan Rahiki 7.7 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Tommy McMillen 50%, Marwan Rahiki 52%
  • Damage Avoidance: Tommy McMillen 5.0 abs/min, Marwan Rahiki 6.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Tommy McMillen —, Marwan Rahiki —
  • Takedown Defense: Tommy McMillen 83%, Marwan Rahiki 100%
  • Submission Threat: Tommy McMillen —, Marwan Rahiki 0.9 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tommy McMillen
Marwan Rahiki

Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tommy McMillen
2-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (100%)
Marwan Rahiki
2-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense83%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Tommy McMillen
Marwan Rahiki

Tommy "Gun" McMillen and Marwan "Freaky" Rahiki are bringing serious heat to Noche UFC on September 12, and this one's got knockout written all over it. Both guys are riding momentum with recent finishes, and neither one seems interested in hearing the final bell. McMillen out of Fight Ready has been on an absolute tear, cracking skulls in back to back performances that showed he's got serious power. McMillen's last two outings tell you everything about where his head's at.

Key Storylines
  • McMillen landed 255 strikes in his last fight before the finish
  • Rahiki hunting his third straight first round knockout
  • Two finishers who haven't needed the judges lately
Finishing Window

Expect fireworks early, but if McMillen survives the opening storm, his volume could take over in rounds two and three.

He put away Manolo Zecchini with a nasty knee to the body in the first round back in April, then went to war with Alberto Montes in July, landing a crazy 255 strikes before finishing him with punches in the third. The dude threw over 500 strikes in that fight, which is just wild. Rahiki's no slouch either, coming off two straight knockouts of his own. He slept Ollie Schmid with one punch in the first round in Perth, and before that got a corner stoppage against Harry Hardwick after beating him up for two rounds.

This is a pure striker's battle between two orthodox featherweights who love to stand and bang. McMillen's shown he can go deep into fights and maintain that output, while Rahiki's been getting guys out of there early. The question is whether Rahiki can catch McMillen before McMillen starts piling up that volume and breaking him down. Both guys are hunting for that statement win to climb the rankings, and someone's getting slept.

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Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki Stats Comparison

Age
28
24
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
5'8" (173 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki AI Analysis

Pace delta

+5.8 significant strikes/min

Tommy McMillen averages 13.5 significant strikes per minute while Marwan Rahiki sits at 7.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tommy McMillen and Marwan Rahiki, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

McMillen vs Rahiki odds

Live Polymarket odds for Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch McMillen vs Rahiki

Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki is on the UFC Fight Night card on Sep 12, 2026 at Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for McMillen vs Rahiki: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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