UFC Fight Night
Sep 12, 2026In 53 daysDesert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Edgar Chairez 3.6 SLpM, Tim Elliott 3.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Edgar Chairez 45%, Tim Elliott 44%
  • Damage Avoidance: Edgar Chairez 4.8 abs/min, Tim Elliott 2.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Edgar Chairez —, Tim Elliott 47%
  • Takedown Defense: Edgar Chairez 38%, Tim Elliott 59%
  • Submission Threat: Edgar Chairez 1.3 per 15m, Tim Elliott 1.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Edgar Chairez
Tim Elliott

Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Edgar Chairez
4-2UFC Record
Sub (58%)
Decision (19%)
Losses (22%)
No Contest (1)
Tim Elliott
10-12UFC Record
Sub (19%)
Decision (45%)
Losses (35%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency70%
Takedown Defense38%
Cardio & Endurance72%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency58%
Takedown Defense59%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Edgar Chairez
Tim Elliott

This flyweight scrap at Noche UFC in Glendale is a classic grappler versus grappler battle, and fans are hyped to see who can impose their game. Tim Elliott, the crafty veteran southpaw, just got back in the win column with that slick guillotine choke from mount against Kai Asakura back in August. Before that, he dropped a decision to Steve Erceg in Perth, but Elliott's still dangerous as hell when he gets his hands on you. Edgar Chairez is riding serious momentum with three straight finishes, including that nasty rear naked choke of Bruno Silva in just over four minutes last June. The Mexican fighter looked sharp getting that split decision over Felipe Bunes in Mexico City too.

Key Storylines
  • Elliott's veteran scrambles versus Chairez's hot finishing streak
  • Three straight submission wins for the surging Mexican
  • Both guys hunt necks and limbs like it's instinct
Finishing Window

Expect the action to hit another level once someone shoots for a takedown or initiates a scramble, because that's when these submission artists go to work.

Here's the thing about this matchup: both guys hunt for submissions like it's their job (because it literally is). Elliott's got that old school scramble game and finds chokes from weird positions. Remember when he arm triangled Sumudaerji in the first round? Dude's a problem on the mat. But Chairez has been finishing fights even faster lately.

That rear naked choke of CJ Vergara took just 2:30, and he caught Daniel Lacerda in a triangle from bottom guard in under 2:30 as well. When Chairez gets the back or locks up a submission, it's usually goodnight. The big question is whether Elliott's experience and scrambling ability can neutralize Chairez's finishing instincts. Elliott's fought everyone and knows every trick in the book, but Chairez is younger, hungrier, and on a tear right now. This one's gonna be a chess match until someone makes a mistake.

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Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott Stats Comparison

Age
30
39
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
71" (180 cm)
66" (168 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Edgar Chairez averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Tim Elliott sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Edgar Chairez and Tim Elliott, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Chairez vs Elliott odds

Live Polymarket odds for Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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