AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
This bantamweight scrap at the APEX is all about who can bounce back harder. Hailey Cowan is looking to snap a rough skid after getting caught in a rear naked choke by Nora Cornolle at UFC 314 in Miami, then dropping a decision to Jamey-Lyn Horth back in 2023. The southpaw from Blitz MMA needs this one bad. Alice Pereira is coming off her own setback, a split decision loss to Montse Rendon in San Antonio where she threw 123 strikes but only landed 43. That's a tough night when you're swinging that much and not connecting.
If Cowan can get this to the mat in rounds two or three, that's where she finds her finish, but Pereira's pace could wear her down first.
Here's the thing about this matchup. Cowan's got that southpaw angle working for her, and when she's on, she can mix in takedowns to keep things interesting. She landed one of two attempts against Cornolle and controlled over four minutes before things went south. Pereira fights orthodox and comes from that Brazilian Life team, but she couldn't get a single takedown to land in her last fight despite three tries. That striking volume is there though, and she's willing to throw hands all night.
Both women are hungry to get back in the win column, and that desperation makes fights dangerous. Cowan needs to use that southpaw stance to create angles and maybe lean on her wrestling when things get tight. Pereira's gotta be smarter with her output and make those strikes count instead of just throwing volume for the sake of it.
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Unlock full analysisHailey Cowan finish map

Hailey Cowan breakdown
Hailey Cowan's recent form
This bantamweight scrap at the APEX is all about who can bounce back harder. Hailey Cowan is looking to snap a rough skid after getting caught in a rear naked choke by Nora Cornolle at UFC 314 in Miami, then dropping a decision to Jamey-Lyn Horth back in 2023. The southpaw from Blitz MMA needs this one bad. Alice Pereira is coming off her own setback, a split decision loss to Montse Rendon in San Antonio where she threw 123 strikes but only landed 43. That's a tough night when you're swinging that much and not connecting.
If Cowan can get this to the mat in rounds two or three, that's where she finds her finish, but Pereira's pace could wear her down first.
Here's the thing about this matchup. Cowan's got that southpaw angle working for her, and when she's on, she can mix in takedowns to keep things interesting. She landed one of two attempts against Cornolle and controlled over four minutes before things went south. Pereira fights orthodox and comes from that Brazilian Life team, but she couldn't get a single takedown to land in her last fight despite three tries. That striking volume is there though, and she's willing to throw hands all night.
Both women are hungry to get back in the win column, and that desperation makes fights dangerous. Cowan needs to use that southpaw stance to create angles and maybe lean on her wrestling when things get tight. Pereira's gotta be smarter with her output and make those strikes count instead of just throwing volume for the sake of it.
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Unlock full analysisAlice Pereira finish map

Alice Pereira breakdown
Alice Pereira's recent form
Pace delta
Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insightUFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insightUFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
