Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan

Apr 4, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Rafael Estevam

Record: 14-1-0

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Ethyn Ewing

Record: 10-2-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rafael Estevam

Ethyn Ewing

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rafael Estevam

Ethyn Ewing

Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Rafael Estevam

Decision (80%)

Losses (20%)

Ethyn Ewing

KO/TKO (50%)

Decision (50%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance85%

Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Rafael Estevam

Ethyn Ewing

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From opening bell, Rafael Estevam can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.4 significant strikes per minute while Ethyn Ewing looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Rafael Estevam

Rafael Estevam finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (80%)

Losses (20%)

Rafael Estevam breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ80%

Rafael Estevam's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Ethyn Ewing must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Ethyn Ewing owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (60%) but must solve the 66% sprawl from Rafael Estevam.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Ethyn Ewing

Ethyn Ewing finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (50%)

Decision (50%)

Ethyn Ewing breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance85%

Fight IQ95%

Ethyn Ewing's recent form

Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

•

5'6" (168 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing AI Analysis

Pace delta

+5.0 significant strikes/min

Ethyn Ewing averages 7.4 significant strikes per minute while Rafael Estevam sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Rafael Estevam and Ethyn Ewing, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Estevam vs Ewing odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Estevam vs Ewing

Rafael Estevam vs Ethyn Ewing is on the UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan card on Apr 4, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Estevam vs Ewing: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.