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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Rafael Estevam is moving up to bantamweight, and honestly, it's about time. The undefeated Brazilian went 3-0 at flyweight in the UFC, grinding out decision wins over Charles Johnson, Jesus Aguilar, and Felipe Bunes. But here's the thing: he missed weight badly in two of those three fights. When you're supposed to be a flyweight but you can't make 125, that's your body screaming at you. Now at 135, he gets to fight without draining himself, and that could make him even more dangerous. Ethyn Ewing is coming off a huge upset win over Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC 322 back in November, and he took that fight on short notice.
This one heats up in round two when the wrestling exchanges pile up and someone's gas tank starts showing cracks.
The Professor Finesser showed up and got it done when most guys would've folded. Now he's back at bantamweight where he belongs, and he's got a real test in front of him. Estevam brings serious volume, landing 128 strikes against Bunes and controlling over 10 minutes of cage time in his last two fights. Dude is relentless with his pressure and wrestling. This is a classic grappler versus grappler battle, but Estevam's cardio and output are next level. He threw 204 strikes in 15 minutes against Bunes and hit 11 takedowns on Aguilar.
That's exhausting just to watch. Ewing's got the upset magic working for him, but can he handle that pace for three rounds? Estevam's never been finished, never even lost a round on some scorecards. For Ewing, this is his chance to prove the Wellmaker win wasn't a fluke and that he belongs in the rankings conversation.
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Rafael Estevam finish map
Rafael Estevam breakdown
Rafael Estevam's recent form
Rafael Estevam is moving up to bantamweight, and honestly, it's about time. The undefeated Brazilian went 3-0 at flyweight in the UFC, grinding out decision wins over Charles Johnson, Jesus Aguilar, and Felipe Bunes. But here's the thing: he missed weight badly in two of those three fights. When you're supposed to be a flyweight but you can't make 125, that's your body screaming at you. Now at 135, he gets to fight without draining himself, and that could make him even more dangerous. Ethyn Ewing is coming off a huge upset win over Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC 322 back in November, and he took that fight on short notice.
This one heats up in round two when the wrestling exchanges pile up and someone's gas tank starts showing cracks.
The Professor Finesser showed up and got it done when most guys would've folded. Now he's back at bantamweight where he belongs, and he's got a real test in front of him. Estevam brings serious volume, landing 128 strikes against Bunes and controlling over 10 minutes of cage time in his last two fights. Dude is relentless with his pressure and wrestling. This is a classic grappler versus grappler battle, but Estevam's cardio and output are next level. He threw 204 strikes in 15 minutes against Bunes and hit 11 takedowns on Aguilar.
That's exhausting just to watch. Ewing's got the upset magic working for him, but can he handle that pace for three rounds? Estevam's never been finished, never even lost a round on some scorecards. For Ewing, this is his chance to prove the Wellmaker win wasn't a fluke and that he belongs in the rankings conversation.
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Unlock full analysisEthyn Ewing finish map
Ethyn Ewing breakdown
Ethyn Ewing's recent form
Pace delta
+2.1 significant strikes/min
Rafael Estevam averages 2.1 significant strikes per minute while Ethyn Ewing sits at 0.0.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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