UFC Record Breakdown
From opening bell, Thomas Petersen can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Guilherme Pat looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative.
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Unlock full analysis
Thomas Petersen finish map

Thomas Petersen breakdown
Thomas Petersen's recent form
From opening bell, Thomas Petersen can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Guilherme Pat looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative. Guilherme Pat must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Thomas Petersen brings the more polished entries (43%) while Guilherme Pat relies on defensive frames (100%).
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Unlock full analysisGuilherme Pat finish map

Guilherme Pat breakdown
Guilherme Pat's recent form
Pace delta
+0.4 significant strikes/min
Thomas Petersen averages 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Guilherme Pat sits at 2.7.
AI confidence
86%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC 328 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night: Brady vs. Buckley • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night: JDM vs. Prates • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

Thomas Petersen vs Guilherme Pat odds: Polymarket odds are added to this page when the market opens.