AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida is riding some serious momentum right now. The Brazilian just starched Abdul Razak Alhassan in the first round back in January with that nasty punch, and before that he put on a striking clinic against Ihor Potieria at UFC 307. Dude's got three finishes in his last four UFC fights, and that crisp Muay Thai background is no joke. He's the kind of guy who makes you nervous every time he throws.
Here's the thing though - Almeida's only blemish came against Roman Kopylov in a split decision loss last June. That fight showed he can hang when things get tough, but it also exposed some questions about his wrestling defense and what happens when he can't impose his striking game. Against Oleksiejczuk, he's facing a guy who's been around the block and knows how to make fights ugly. Almeida's best work happens at range where he can use that 70% striking accuracy he showed against Alhassan.
Those elbows in the clinch that finished Dylan Budka were sick too, so he's dangerous everywhere on the feet. The Brazilian's been training at Lotus MMA and clearly leveling up his game with each fight. This feels like a prove-it moment for Cesinha in the middleweight division. String together another finish here and people start talking about him as a real problem at 185.


UFC Record Breakdown
If Almeida finds his range early, this one could get wild in the first two rounds when he's sharpest.

Cesar Almeida finish map

Cesar Almeida breakdown
Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida is riding some serious momentum right now. The Brazilian just starched Abdul Razak Alhassan in the first round back in January with that nasty punch, and before that he put on a striking clinic against Ihor Potieria at UFC 307. Dude's got three finishes in his last four UFC fights, and that crisp Muay Thai background is no joke. He's the kind of guy who makes you nervous every time he throws.
Here's the thing though - Almeida's only blemish came against Roman Kopylov in a split decision loss last June. That fight showed he can hang when things get tough, but it also exposed some questions about his wrestling defense and what happens when he can't impose his striking game. Against Oleksiejczuk, he's facing a guy who's been around the block and knows how to make fights ugly. Almeida's best work happens at range where he can use that 70% striking accuracy he showed against Alhassan.
Those elbows in the clinch that finished Dylan Budka were sick too, so he's dangerous everywhere on the feet. The Brazilian's been training at Lotus MMA and clearly leveling up his game with each fight. This feels like a prove-it moment for Cesinha in the middleweight division. String together another finish here and people start talking about him as a real problem at 185.
If Almeida finds his range early, this one could get wild in the first two rounds when he's sharpest.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk finish map

Cezary Oleksiejczuk breakdown
Pace delta
+4.2 significant strikes/min
Cesar Almeida averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Cezary Oleksiejczuk sits at 0.0.
AI confidence
86%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
