Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Jul 11, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Alessandro Costa

Record: 17-5-0

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Cody Durden

Record: 18-11-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alessandro Costa

Cody Durden

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alessandro Costa

Cody Durden

Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alessandro Costa

KO/TKO (58%)

Sub (15%)

Losses (27%)

Cody Durden

KO/TKO (9%)

Sub (9%)

Decision (45%)

Losses (38%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense87%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%

Grappling Efficiency53%

Takedown Defense56%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Alessandro Costa

Cody Durden

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From opening bell, Alessandro Costa can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Cody Durden looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:3

Alessandro Costa

Alessandro Costa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (58%)

Sub (15%)

Losses (27%)

Alessandro Costa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense87%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Alessandro Costa's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Cody Durden must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Cody Durden owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (48%) but must solve the 87% sprawl from Alessandro Costa.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Cody Durden

Cody Durden finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (9%)

Sub (9%)

Decision (45%)

Losses (38%)

Cody Durden breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%

Grappling Efficiency53%

Takedown Defense56%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ70%

Cody Durden's recent form

Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'4" (163 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

125 lbs (57 kg)

•

125 lbs (57 kg)

Reach

67" (170 cm)

•

67" (170 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.5 significant strikes/min

Alessandro Costa averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Cody Durden sits at 3.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alessandro Costa and Cody Durden, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Costa vs Durden odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Costa vs Durden

Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden is on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card on Jul 11, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Costa vs Durden: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.