UFC Record Breakdown
GM3 is in rough waters right now. Gerald Meerschaert has dropped four straight, including getting caught in a D'Arce choke by Kyle Daukaus in under a minute back in November, then eating ground and pound from Michal Oleksiejczuk in August. For a guy who's built his career on slick submissions, getting finished on the ground himself has to sting. Meanwhile, Jacob Malkoun is riding high after that dominant win over Torrez Finney in Sydney just a couple months back, landing 151 strikes and controlling the fight for over five minutes. Here's the thing though.
If this hits the ground, expect GM3 to hunt for the neck or an arm, but Malkoun's got the power to end it on the feet in any round.
Meerschaert might be on a skid, but the dude's still dangerous as hell with 35 career submission wins. That arm triangle he locked up on Edmen Shahbazyan in August 2024 showed he's still got it when things hit the mat. Malkoun's got solid wrestling, hitting 7 takedowns against Brendan Allen back in 2022, but GM3 is a different animal on the ground. That southpaw stance creates weird angles too. Malkoun's been the more active guy lately and he's fighting with confidence after that home country win.
He's got that nasty body kick that dropped Andre Petroski cold in 2024. But can he avoid the grappling exchanges? GM3 needs this one bad. A fifth straight loss could be curtains, and desperate fighters are scary fighters. This is a classic striker versus grappler setup, except both guys can mix it up anywhere.
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Gerald Meerschaert breakdown
Gerald Meerschaert's recent form
GM3 is in rough waters right now. Gerald Meerschaert has dropped four straight, including getting caught in a D'Arce choke by Kyle Daukaus in under a minute back in November, then eating ground and pound from Michal Oleksiejczuk in August. For a guy who's built his career on slick submissions, getting finished on the ground himself has to sting. Meanwhile, Jacob Malkoun is riding high after that dominant win over Torrez Finney in Sydney just a couple months back, landing 151 strikes and controlling the fight for over five minutes. Here's the thing though.
If this hits the ground, expect GM3 to hunt for the neck or an arm, but Malkoun's got the power to end it on the feet in any round.
Meerschaert might be on a skid, but the dude's still dangerous as hell with 35 career submission wins. That arm triangle he locked up on Edmen Shahbazyan in August 2024 showed he's still got it when things hit the mat. Malkoun's got solid wrestling, hitting 7 takedowns against Brendan Allen back in 2022, but GM3 is a different animal on the ground. That southpaw stance creates weird angles too. Malkoun's been the more active guy lately and he's fighting with confidence after that home country win.
He's got that nasty body kick that dropped Andre Petroski cold in 2024. But can he avoid the grappling exchanges? GM3 needs this one bad. A fifth straight loss could be curtains, and desperate fighters are scary fighters. This is a classic striker versus grappler setup, except both guys can mix it up anywhere.
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Jacob Malkoun finish map

Jacob Malkoun breakdown
Jacob Malkoun's recent form
Pace delta
+1.5 significant strikes/min
Jacob Malkoun averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Gerald Meerschaert sits at 3.0.
AI confidence
90%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Gerald Meerschaert vs Jacob Malkoun odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.