Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates

May 2, 2026Perth, Western Australia, Australia

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Vince Morales

Record: 16-11-0

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Colby Thicknesse

Record: 9-1-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Vince Morales

Colby Thicknesse

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Vince Morales

Colby Thicknesse

Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Vince Morales

KO/TKO (19%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (43%)

Colby Thicknesse

Decision (75%)

Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense58%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Vince Morales

Colby Thicknesse

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From opening bell, Vince Morales can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Colby Thicknesse looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Vince Morales

Vince Morales finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (19%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (43%)

Vince Morales breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense58%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ70%

Vince Morales's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Colby Thicknesse must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Vince Morales brings the more polished entries (40%) while Colby Thicknesse relies on defensive frames (50%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Colby Thicknesse

Colby Thicknesse finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (75%)

Losses (25%)

Colby Thicknesse breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ85%

Colby Thicknesse's recent form

Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

70" (178 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.2 significant strikes/min

Vince Morales averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Colby Thicknesse sits at 3.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Vince Morales and Colby Thicknesse, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Morales vs Thicknesse odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Morales vs Thicknesse

Vince Morales vs Colby Thicknesse is on the UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates card on May 2, 2026 at Perth, Western Australia, Australia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Morales vs Thicknesse: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.