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UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026• In 19 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Jacob Malkoun 4.5 SLpM, Abubakar Vagaev —
  • Striking Accuracy: Jacob Malkoun 58%, Abubakar Vagaev —
  • Damage Avoidance: Jacob Malkoun 2.4 abs/min, Abubakar Vagaev —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Jacob Malkoun 40%, Abubakar Vagaev —
  • Takedown Defense: Jacob Malkoun 33%, Abubakar Vagaev —
  • Submission Threat: Jacob Malkoun 0.9 per 15m, Abubakar Vagaev —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jacob Malkoun
Abubakar Vagaev

Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jacob Malkoun
6-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (13%)
Decision (62%)
Losses (25%)
Abubakar Vagaev
1-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense33%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance85%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Jacob Malkoun
Abubakar Vagaev

Jacob Malkoun has three straight wins, and Abubakar Vagaev arrives with a July victory over Saygid Izagakhmaev that went the distance. That makes UFC 333 an interesting next step: two unranked fighters with recent wins, neither getting a free pass just because his last result looked tidy on paper. Here's the thing about Malkoun's run. He stopped Andre Petroski in round 2, then beat Torrez Finney and Gerald Meerschaert by unanimous decision, so his recent results include both an early ending and the work of getting through a full fight.

Key Storylines
  • Malkoun brings three straight wins, with different roads to the result.
  • Vagaev's July decision over Izagakhmaev sets up his next UFC test.
  • Equal reach puts the spotlight on timing, position and repeated effort.
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in round 2, when the early battle for position turns into longer exchanges and repeated efforts begin testing the pace.

Vagaev also beat Izagakhmaev by unanimous decision, which gives this matchup a proper question about what happens when neither man backs off after the first hard exchange. Both stand orthodox, and both have a 73 inch reach, so nobody gets to claim an automatic advantage just by sticking an arm out. Watch who controls the space after the first punch, who can stop an entry without giving up position, and who keeps working if the fight gets tied up. If it reaches the mat, the first takedown is only the beginning: keeping control and finding a way back up become the next jobs.

Another win would keep either man's momentum rolling, but the interesting part is how he earns it. Can either force the other to fight at an uncomfortable pace without burning through his own energy?

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Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev Stats Comparison

Age
31
•
33
Height
5'9" (175 cm)
•
5'11" (180 cm)
Weight
185 lbs (84 kg)
•
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
73" (185 cm)
•
73" (185 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev AI Analysis

Pace delta

+4.6 significant strikes/min

Jacob Malkoun averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Abubakar Vagaev sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jacob Malkoun and Abubakar Vagaev, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Malkoun vs Vagaev odds

Live Polymarket odds for Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Malkoun vs Vagaev

Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Malkoun vs Vagaev: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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