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UFC Sydney
Feb 6, 2027• In 91 daysSydney, Australia
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Robert Whittaker 4.4 SLpM, Bogdan Guskov 4.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Robert Whittaker 43%, Bogdan Guskov 55%
  • Damage Avoidance: Robert Whittaker 3.4 abs/min, Bogdan Guskov 4.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Robert Whittaker 38%, Bogdan Guskov —
  • Takedown Defense: Robert Whittaker 80%, Bogdan Guskov 57%
  • Submission Threat: Robert Whittaker —, Bogdan Guskov 0.7 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Robert Whittaker
Bogdan Guskov

Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Robert Whittaker
18-7UFC Record
KO/TKO (28%)
Decision (44%)
Losses (28%)
Bogdan Guskov
5-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (43%)
Sub (14%)
Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Takedown Accuracy38%
Takedown Defense80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%
Takedown Defense57%

Last Opponents

Robert Whittaker
Bogdan Guskov
Betting odds

Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov sportsbook odds

Robert Whittaker is the betting favourite at -140 (1.71), with Bogdan Guskov priced at +120 (2.20). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Robert Whittaker

FavouriteImplied 58.3%Line drifting
-1401.71

Bogdan Guskov

Implied 45.5%Line shortening
+1202.20

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Robert Whittaker and Bogdan Guskov arrive at UFC Sydney with very different recent results, but one opponent gives fans a handy comparison. Both stopped Nikita Krylov, Whittaker in round 3 and Guskov in round 1, yet the way they got there matters more than the difference on the clock. Whittaker got his stoppage with a punch at distance, while Guskov finished Krylov with punches on the ground. That's the interesting bit, because the same opponent can bring out very different problems.

Key Storylines
  • They both stopped Nikita Krylov, but the routes looked very different
  • His Krylov win gave Robert Whittaker a reset after consecutive losses
  • Bogdan Guskov's guillotine adds another question whenever the distance disappears
Finishing Window

The fight should open up after the first few exchanges, when the timing of the exits starts to decide whether they reset or stay close enough to keep trading.

Whittaker's win followed losses to Reinier de Ridder by split decision and Khamzat Chimaev by submission. Guskov comes off a round 5 stoppage loss to Magomed Ankalaev after a majority draw with Jan Blachowicz. His guillotine win over Billy Elekana is another reason to watch the transitions, especially if a clean exchange turns into a scramble. Whittaker needs room to strike and reset, while Guskov has reason to make those exits uncomfortable.

The question is how much that shared opponent really tells us once they face each other, because separate fights cannot settle whose timing carries over. Watch the space after the first exchange: does the action reset at range, or does someone stay close enough to keep the sequence alive?

Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov Stats Comparison

Age
35
•
34
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
•
6'3" (191 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
•
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
73" (185 cm)
•
76" (193 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.2 significant strikes/min

Bogdan Guskov averages 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Robert Whittaker sits at 4.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Robert Whittaker
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record3-2-018-7-0
Wins inside the distance2 (67%)7 (39%)
KO/TKO wins27
Submission wins00
Average fight time11:1713:31
Total strikes landed per min4.184.96
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.000.71
Control time per 15 min0:101:11
Bogdan Guskov
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record3-1-14-2-1
Wins inside the distance3 (100%)4 (100%)
KO/TKO wins23
Submission wins11
Average fight time11:469:27
Total strikes landed per min4.744.74
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.000.00
Control time per 15 min1:341:25

UFC bouts only, as of November 7, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Robert Whittaker 25/25, Bogdan Guskov 7/7.

Robert Whittaker and Bogdan Guskov: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

OpponentRobert WhittakerBogdan Guskov
Nikita KrylovWin KO/TKO, R3 · Jul 2026Win KO/TKO, R1 · Jul 2025

Robert Whittaker: last 5 UFC fights

  1. WinNikita KrylovKO/TKO, R3· UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Jul 2026
  2. LossReinier de RidderDecision – Split· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Jul 2025
  3. LossKhamzat ChimaevSubmission, R1· UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 2024
  4. WinIkram AliskerovKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 2024
  5. WinPaulo CostaDecision – Unanimous· UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 2024

Bogdan Guskov: last 5 UFC fights

  1. LossMagomed AnkalaevKO/TKO, R5· UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Jul 2026
  2. DrawJan BlachowiczDecision – Majority· UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 2025
  3. WinNikita KrylovKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Jul 2025
  4. WinBilly ElekanaSubmission, R2· UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 2025
  5. WinRyan SpannKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Robert Whittaker and Bogdan Guskov, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Whittaker vs Guskov odds

Live Polymarket odds for Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Whittaker vs Guskov

Robert Whittaker vs Bogdan Guskov is on the UFC Sydney card on Feb 6, 2027 at Sydney, Australia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Whittaker vs Guskov: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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