Original research by AgentMMA

MMA Lab

Data-driven research on how fights are really won. Every study is grounded in real bout data and peer-reviewed sport science — no hot takes.

UFC KO vs TKO: What’s the Difference Under the Rules?
rules

UFC KO vs TKO: What’s the Difference Under the Rules?

UFC KO vs TKO rules aren't as simple as conscious or unconscious. See official definitions, stoppage types, fight examples, and what 844 bouts show.

Oscar Nascimento
What Does No Contest Mean in UFC? Rules, Records and Data
rules

What Does No Contest Mean in UFC? Rules, Records and Data

What does no contest mean in UFC? Learn the foul-time rules, record impact, title effects, famous examples, and all-time data from 8,940 fights.

Oscar Nascimento
Most Common UFC Submissions: What 3,123 Fights Show
submissions

Most Common UFC Submissions: What 3,123 Fights Show

The rear-naked choke is the most common UFC submission. A 3,123-fight study shows how often submissions happen, which types lead, and the data limits.

Oscar Nascimento
Do UFC Age Gaps Matter? UFC Belgrade and 8,419 Fights
age

Do UFC Age Gaps Matter? UFC Belgrade and 8,419 Fights

UFC age gap data tracks win rates across 8,419 fights, then puts the wide Błachowicz–Stirling and Medić–Rodriguez gaps in context at UFC Belgrade.

Oscar Nascimento
How to Convert UFC Odds to Implied Probability: Examples
betting

How to Convert UFC Odds to Implied Probability: Examples

Convert UFC odds into implied probability, remove sportsbook vig, compare no-vig prices and read American, decimal and fractional odds correctly.

Oscar Nascimento
Does UFC Cage Size Change Finish Rates? What Data Says
statistics

Does UFC Cage Size Change Finish Rates? What Data Says

Does UFC cage size change finish rates? A 1,572-fight UFC PI comparison finds fewer decisions in the 25-foot Octagon, with key limits and confounders.

Oscar Nascimento
Are UFC Stats Accurate? What Reddit Gets Right and Wrong
reddit

Are UFC Stats Accurate? What Reddit Gets Right and Wrong

Are UFC Stats accurate? We test Reddit's biggest claims against FightMetric definitions, official judging rules, live counting methods, and record data.

Oscar Nascimento
Why Accurate UFC Prediction Models Can Still Lose Money
predictions

Why Accurate UFC Prediction Models Can Still Lose Money

A UFC prediction model can pick most winners and still lose money. Learn how price, vig, calibration, variance and small samples separate accuracy from profit.

Oscar Nascimento
How Does an AI UFC Prediction Model Actually Work?
predictions

How Does an AI UFC Prediction Model Actually Work?

See how an AI UFC prediction model turns fighter history into win probabilities, avoids data leakage, tests accuracy and handles matchup uncertainty.

Oscar Nascimento
UFC Weight Classes Explained: Limits and Weigh-In Rules
weight-classes

UFC Weight Classes Explained: Limits and Weigh-In Rules

UFC weight classes run from 115 to 265 pounds. See all men's and women's limits, the one-pound allowance, catchweights and missed-weight rules.

Oscar Nascimento
What Is a Technical Submission in UFC? Rules Explained
rules

What Is a Technical Submission in UFC? Rules Explained

What is a technical submission in UFC? Learn when a no-tap choke or joint injury counts, and how it differs from a submission, knockout and TKO.

Oscar Nascimento
How Are UFC Rankings Decided? Meta System Explained
rankings

How Are UFC Rankings Decided? Meta System Explained

How are UFC rankings decided? See how the new Meta model weighs wins, opponent quality, finishes, activity and old results—and what it leaves out.

Oscar Nascimento