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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
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Tofiq Musayev is stepping back into the Octagon after a rough UFC debut, and he's got something to prove. The Azerbaijani fighter got caught in a nasty kimura by Myktybek Orolbai back in June, tapping out in the first round at 4:35. That's a tough way to introduce yourself to UFC fans, but now he gets a chance to bounce back against Samuel Sanches at the Apex. Sanches is coming in as a former Rizin standout making just his second UFC appearance. The Brazilian earned his nickname "The Prodigy" for a reason, and he's looking to build on whatever momentum he brought from Japan.
First round is critical for Musayev's confidence, but this could heat up anywhere if Sanches pushes the pace.
This lightweight scrap is one of 11 fights stacked on this April card, and both guys are deep into their training camps now. Here's what makes this interesting. Musayev knows he can't afford another first round disaster. That submission loss has to be eating at him, and you know he's been drilling his defensive grappling like crazy since that debut. Sanches brings that Rizin experience where anything can happen, and he's trying to establish himself in the deepest division in MMA.
Both guys are hungry, both need this win badly. The stakes are simple but brutal. Musayev needs to show that debut was just a bad night. Sanches needs to prove he belongs in the UFC's lightweight shark tank. Someone's walking out with their back against the wall, and fight week is right around the corner.
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Unlock full analysisSamuel Sanches finish map
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Samuel Sanches breakdown
Samuel Sanches's recent form
Tofiq Musayev is stepping back into the Octagon after a rough UFC debut, and he's got something to prove. The Azerbaijani fighter got caught in a nasty kimura by Myktybek Orolbai back in June, tapping out in the first round at 4:35. That's a tough way to introduce yourself to UFC fans, but now he gets a chance to bounce back against Samuel Sanches at the Apex. Sanches is coming in as a former Rizin standout making just his second UFC appearance. The Brazilian earned his nickname "The Prodigy" for a reason, and he's looking to build on whatever momentum he brought from Japan.
First round is critical for Musayev's confidence, but this could heat up anywhere if Sanches pushes the pace.
This lightweight scrap is one of 11 fights stacked on this April card, and both guys are deep into their training camps now. Here's what makes this interesting. Musayev knows he can't afford another first round disaster. That submission loss has to be eating at him, and you know he's been drilling his defensive grappling like crazy since that debut. Sanches brings that Rizin experience where anything can happen, and he's trying to establish himself in the deepest division in MMA.
Both guys are hungry, both need this win badly. The stakes are simple but brutal. Musayev needs to show that debut was just a bad night. Sanches needs to prove he belongs in the UFC's lightweight shark tank. Someone's walking out with their back against the wall, and fight week is right around the corner.
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Unlock full analysisTofiq Musayev finish map
Tofiq Musayev breakdown
Tofiq Musayev's recent form
Pace delta
Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.
AI confidence
75%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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