AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Ailin Perez is on an absolute tear right now, riding a five fight win streak that's got the bantamweight division paying attention. She just beat Karol Rosa by decision at UFC 311 in January, and before that she put on a clinic against Joselyne Edwards where she landed 68 strikes and controlled the fight for over four minutes. The Argentine switch stance fighter has been mixing it up beautifully, whether it's grinding out decisions or snatching submissions like that arm triangle she locked up in Paris. Macy Chiasson is coming off back to back losses though, and that's gotta be weighing on her mind.
If Chiasson's gonna get a finish, it happens early before Perez starts dragging her into deep water.
She dropped decisions to both Yana Santos and Ketlen Vieira in her last two outings. Before that rough patch, she was looking dangerous with that doctor stoppage TKO over Mayra Bueno Silva and a slick rear naked choke finish of Pannie Kianzad in under four minutes. But here's the thing, she missed weight by 1.5 pounds at UFC 320, and that kind of stuff doesn't go unnoticed. This matchup is all about momentum versus experience.
Perez has been super active, fighting five times since July 2023, and she's showing serious improvements in her striking accuracy and wrestling. Chiasson's got the size and power, but can she get back on track against someone who's rolling this hot? The Fortis MMA product needs this win badly to stay relevant in the rankings.

Ailin Perez finish map

Ailin Perez breakdown
Ailin Perez's recent form
Ailin Perez is on an absolute tear right now, riding a five fight win streak that's got the bantamweight division paying attention. She just beat Karol Rosa by decision at UFC 311 in January, and before that she put on a clinic against Joselyne Edwards where she landed 68 strikes and controlled the fight for over four minutes. The Argentine switch stance fighter has been mixing it up beautifully, whether it's grinding out decisions or snatching submissions like that arm triangle she locked up in Paris. Macy Chiasson is coming off back to back losses though, and that's gotta be weighing on her mind.
If Chiasson's gonna get a finish, it happens early before Perez starts dragging her into deep water.
She dropped decisions to both Yana Santos and Ketlen Vieira in her last two outings. Before that rough patch, she was looking dangerous with that doctor stoppage TKO over Mayra Bueno Silva and a slick rear naked choke finish of Pannie Kianzad in under four minutes. But here's the thing, she missed weight by 1.5 pounds at UFC 320, and that kind of stuff doesn't go unnoticed. This matchup is all about momentum versus experience.
Perez has been super active, fighting five times since July 2023, and she's showing serious improvements in her striking accuracy and wrestling. Chiasson's got the size and power, but can she get back on track against someone who's rolling this hot? The Fortis MMA product needs this win badly to stay relevant in the rankings.
Macy Chiasson finish map

Macy Chiasson breakdown
Macy Chiasson's recent form
Pace delta
+0.4 significant strikes/min
Macy Chiasson averages 3.5 significant strikes per minute while Ailin Perez sits at 3.1.
AI confidence
84%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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