Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

Feb 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

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Brandon Moreno

Record: 23-10-2

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Lone'er Kavanagh

Record: 10-2-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Brandon Moreno

Lone'er Kavanagh

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Brandon Moreno

Lone'er Kavanagh

Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Brandon Moreno

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (19%)

Decision (39%)

Losses (29%)

Lone'er Kavanagh

Decision (71%)

Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency46%

Takedown Defense82%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Brandon Moreno

Lone'er Kavanagh

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From opening bell, Brandon Moreno can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Lone'er Kavanagh looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Brandon Moreno

Brandon Moreno finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (19%)

Decision (39%)

Losses (29%)

Brandon Moreno breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Brandon Moreno's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Lone'er Kavanagh must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Lone'er Kavanagh owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (46%) but must solve the 65% sprawl from Brandon Moreno.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Lone'er Kavanagh

Lone'er Kavanagh finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (71%)

Losses (29%)

Lone'er Kavanagh breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency46%

Takedown Defense82%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Lone'er Kavanagh's recent form

Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'6" (168 cm)

Weight

125 lbs (57 kg)

•

125 lbs (57 kg)

Reach

70" (178 cm)

•

67" (170 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Lone'er Kavanagh averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Brandon Moreno sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Brandon Moreno and Lone'er Kavanagh, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Moreno vs Kavanagh odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Moreno vs Kavanagh

Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh is on the UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh card on Feb 28, 2026 at Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Moreno vs Kavanagh: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.