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UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026• In 5 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Colby Thicknesse 3.3 SLpM, Asaf Chopurov —
  • Striking Accuracy: Colby Thicknesse 42%, Asaf Chopurov —
  • Damage Avoidance: Colby Thicknesse 2.8 abs/min, Asaf Chopurov —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Colby Thicknesse 9%, Asaf Chopurov —
  • Takedown Defense: Colby Thicknesse 50%, Asaf Chopurov —
  • Submission Threat: Colby Thicknesse 0.5 per 15m, Asaf Chopurov —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Colby Thicknesse
Asaf Chopurov

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Colby Thicknesse
2-1UFC Record
Decision (75%)
Losses (25%)
Asaf Chopurov
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

N/A

Last Opponents

Colby Thicknesse
Asaf Chopurov
Betting odds

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov sportsbook odds

Asaf Chopurov is the betting favourite at -525 (1.19), with Colby Thicknesse priced at +404 (5.04). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Colby Thicknesse

Implied 19.8%Line drifting
+4045.04

Asaf Chopurov

FavouriteImplied 84%Line shortening
-5251.19

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

An unbeaten record always gets people looking, but Asaf Chopurov has a proper test waiting in Colby Thicknesse at UFC 333. Thicknesse comes in with consecutive unanimous decision wins, so this is a meeting between an unbeaten fighter and a man who has started putting results together again. Here's the thing about Thicknesse's recent run: Aleksandre Topuria beat him by unanimous decision, then he answered with unanimous decisions over Josias Musasa and Vince Morales. Those results put full fights under his belt without proving that every difficult moment has been solved.

Key Storylines
  • Two straight unanimous decisions put Colby Thicknesse back on track.
  • Asaf Chopurov brings an unbeaten record and something worth protecting.
  • Both stand orthodox, so watch the jab and cage exits.
Finishing Window

Round 2 is the likeliest point for things to open up if pressure starts forcing longer exchanges and rushed exits.

Chopurov brings the unbeaten record, but that alone cannot tell us who controls the pace when the exchanges get messy. Both stand orthodox, which makes the jab, the straight right and the exit after each exchange worth watching. Can either man make the other back up without walking onto a clean shot, and what happens if that pressure reaches the fence? If they start wrestling, watch who can finish an entry or get free without burning energy on a position that goes nowhere.

That's the hook here: Thicknesse wants to keep his run moving, while Chopurov has an unbeaten record to protect. The fun is finding out who can keep making good choices once the opening reads are over and neither man is getting everything his own way.

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Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov Stats Comparison

Age
27
•
24
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
—
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
•
—
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.3 significant strikes/min

Colby Thicknesse averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Asaf Chopurov sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Colby Thicknesse and Asaf Chopurov, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Thicknesse vs Chopurov odds

Live Polymarket odds for Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Thicknesse vs Chopurov

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Thicknesse vs Chopurov: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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