UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026• TomorrowShanghai, China
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Ding Meng 3.4 SLpM, Cam Nelson —
  • Striking Accuracy: Ding Meng 50%, Cam Nelson —
  • Damage Avoidance: Ding Meng 3.9 abs/min, Cam Nelson —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Ding Meng 50%, Cam Nelson —
  • Takedown Defense: Ding Meng —, Cam Nelson —
  • Submission Threat: Ding Meng —, Cam Nelson —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Ding Meng
Cam Nelson

Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Ding Meng
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)
Cam Nelson
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

N/A

Last Opponents

Ding Meng
Cam Nelson
Betting odds

Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson sportsbook odds

Ding Meng is the betting favourite at -145 (1.69), with Cam Nelson priced at +125 (2.25). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Ding Meng

FavouriteImplied 59.2%Line shortening
-1451.69

Cam Nelson

Implied 44.4%Line drifting
+1252.25

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

UFC Shanghai is stacked and this welterweight bout on the prelims is one fans should not sleep on. Ding Meng, going by "The Assassin," is fighting in front of a home crowd in China and you already know that energy is going to be electric. Meanwhile Cam Nelson is coming in from Niagara Top Team up in Canada, ready to play spoiler on enemy territory. Here's the thing about Ding Meng.

Key Storylines
  • Ding Meng fighting for redemption on home soil in Shanghai
  • Can Nelson silence a hostile Chinese crowd and steal the win
  • Both orthodox strikers setting up a wild technical standup war
Finishing Window

If either guy starts landing clean and the crowd goes nuts, expect the third round to get absolutely crazy as both fighters empty the tank.

His last outing was a split decision loss to Jose Henrique back in May at UFC Fight Night in Macau, and that one had to sting. Split decisions are always controversial and you can bet he's been grinding in the gym since then, hungry to prove something. Nelson is the kind of guy analysts on YouTube have been pointing to as having solid experience, and multiple prediction shows this week have been breaking down this matchup pretty carefully. Both guys are orthodox strikers so this could turn into a really fun technical battle on the feet.

The crowd in Shanghai is going to be going crazy for Ding Meng every time he lands anything clean, and that home crowd energy is a real factor. Nelson needs to stay composed and not let the atmosphere mess with his head. The big question everyone is asking is whether Ding Meng can bounce back and put on a show for his home fans, or if Nelson comes in and ruins the party.

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Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson Stats Comparison

Age
31
•
28
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
•
6'0" (183 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
•
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
73" (185 cm)
•
—
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson AI Analysis

Pace delta

Limited volume data in the official feed for this matchup.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Ding Meng and Cam Nelson, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Meng vs Nelson odds

Live Polymarket odds for Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Meng vs Nelson

Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson is on the UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song card on Aug 29, 2026 at Shanghai, China. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Meng vs Nelson: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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