UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026• TomorrowShanghai, China
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Julia Polastri 6.4 SLpM, Xiong Jingnan —
  • Striking Accuracy: Julia Polastri 54%, Xiong Jingnan —
  • Damage Avoidance: Julia Polastri 5.4 abs/min, Xiong Jingnan —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Julia Polastri 80%, Xiong Jingnan —
  • Takedown Defense: Julia Polastri 60%, Xiong Jingnan —
  • Submission Threat: Julia Polastri 0.4 per 15m, Xiong Jingnan —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Julia Polastri
Xiong Jingnan

Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Julia Polastri
2-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (31%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (38%)
Xiong Jingnan
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency80%
Takedown Defense60%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ65%

Last Opponents

Julia Polastri
Xiong Jingnan
Betting odds

Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan sportsbook odds

Julia Polastri is the betting favourite at -230 (1.43), with Xiong Jingnan priced at +192 (2.92). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Julia Polastri

FavouriteImplied 69.7%
-2301.43

Xiong Jingnan

Implied 34.2%Line shortening
+1922.92

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

UFC Shanghai is bringing some serious strawweight heat to the prelims and this one is worth staying up for. Xiong Jingnan vs Julia "Psycho" Polastri is the kind of fight that sneaks up on you and then absolutely delivers. The UFC even dropped a whole feature on Polastri this week called "Fight Like No One's Watching" which tells you everything about her mindset heading in. Here's the thing about both of these women right now. Xiong is coming off a tough unanimous decision loss to Angela Hill back in May, where she landed 91 strikes but couldn't get anything going on the ground and couldn't steal a single round on the cards. Polastri is also bouncing back from a loss, dropping a unanimous decision to Talita Alencar in April.

Key Storylines
  • Polastri owns one of the best strike accuracy rates in strawweight history
  • Xiong fighting near home crowd after tough Angela Hill loss
  • Both women desperate to bounce back from recent decision losses
Finishing Window

If Polastri starts landing clean and Xiong can't find her rhythm early, round three is when this thing could get stopped.

Two fighters with something to prove, fighting in China. That's a recipe for fireworks. But check this out about Polastri. MMA Junkie flagged that she lands 58 percent of her significant strike attempts, which is apparently the second best rate in strawweight divisional history. That's not a fluke either. She stopped Karolina Kowalkiewicz with punches in round three back in October 2025, throwing 261 strikes in that fight.

She can be wild with volume but when she connects, she really connects. Xiong is fighting in front of a home crowd basically, and that energy is going to be real. Polastri needs a statement win to get back on track after two losses in her last three. Both of them are hungry and that makes this dangerous.

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Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan Stats Comparison

Age
28
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—
Height
5'2" (157 cm)
•
—
Weight
115 lbs (52 kg)
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—
Reach
63" (160 cm)
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—
Stance
Orthodox
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—
AI Division Rank
—
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Status
Contender
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Contender

Key Insights: Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan AI Analysis

Pace delta

Limited volume data in the official feed for this matchup.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Julia Polastri and Xiong Jingnan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Polastri vs Jingnan odds

Live Polymarket odds for Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Polastri vs Jingnan

Julia Polastri vs Xiong Jingnan is on the UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song card on Aug 29, 2026 at Shanghai, China. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Polastri vs Jingnan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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