UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026TomorrowShanghai, China
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Xiao Long 5.3 SLpM, Francesco Nuzzi —
  • Striking Accuracy: Xiao Long 46%, Francesco Nuzzi 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Xiao Long 4.2 abs/min, Francesco Nuzzi 3.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Xiao Long 25%, Francesco Nuzzi 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Xiao Long 79%, Francesco Nuzzi 65%
  • Submission Threat: Xiao Long —, Francesco Nuzzi —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Xiao Long
Francesco Nuzzi

Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi

Finish Maps

PFL Record Breakdown

Xiao Long
1-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (57%)
Losses (43%)
Francesco Nuzzi
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense79%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense65%

Last Opponents

Xiao Long
Francesco Nuzzi
Betting odds

Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi sportsbook odds

Xiao Long is the betting favourite at -165 (1.61), with Francesco Nuzzi priced at +145 (2.45). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Xiao Long

FavouriteImplied 62.3%Line drifting
-1651.61

Francesco Nuzzi

Implied 40.8%Line shortening
+1452.45

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

UFC Shanghai is bringing the heat on August 29, and this bantamweight scrap between Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi is one of those fights that has people genuinely curious. Nuzzi is stepping into the UFC on short notice for his debut, which is either the craziest thing you can do or the most exciting, depending on how you look at it. That alone makes this worth watching. Xiao Long has been grinding through the UFC bantamweight division and fans know he can finish guys.

Key Storylines
  • Nuzzi takes wild short notice UFC debut in Shanghai
  • Xiao Long desperate for a win after two straight losses
  • Italian prospect looking to shock the world on debut night
Finishing Window

If Xiao Long's hands are on point like they were when he stopped Quang Le, the third round is when things could get real dangerous for the debuting Nuzzi.

He stopped Quang Le with punches in the third round back at UFC Macau in November 2024, which showed he has real pop in his hands. But his last two outings were unanimous decision losses to SuYoung You and then that wild fight against Cody Garbrandt where he actually had two points deducted for repeated low blows. That kind of stuff sticks with you. Here's the thing about Nuzzi stepping in on short notice for his UFC debut in Shanghai.

That takes serious guts, and the Italian MMA community is going absolutely crazy for this moment. His team at Team Iridium announced the booking and the buzz out of Italy has been real, with FightSport Italia dropping an exclusive interview that shows he is fired up and ready. Xiao Long needs a win badly after back to back losses, and Nuzzi wants to announce himself to the world in the biggest way possible. The pressure is on both guys.

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Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi Stats Comparison

Age
28
28
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi AI Analysis

Pace delta

+5.3 significant strikes/min

Xiao Long averages 5.3 significant strikes per minute while Francesco Nuzzi sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Xiao Long and Francesco Nuzzi, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Long vs Nuzzi odds

Live Polymarket odds for Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Long vs Nuzzi

Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi is on the UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song card on Aug 29, 2026 at Shanghai, China. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Long vs Nuzzi: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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