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UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026• In 19 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Iasmin Lucindo 3.2 SLpM, Nicolle Caliari 2.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Iasmin Lucindo 45%, Nicolle Caliari 39%
  • Damage Avoidance: Iasmin Lucindo 2.8 abs/min, Nicolle Caliari 5.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Iasmin Lucindo 55%, Nicolle Caliari 29%
  • Takedown Defense: Iasmin Lucindo 68%, Nicolle Caliari 50%
  • Submission Threat: Iasmin Lucindo 0.1 per 15m, Nicolle Caliari 1.0 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Iasmin Lucindo
Nicolle Caliari

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Iasmin Lucindo
5-2UFC Record
Sub (16%)
Decision (62%)
Losses (22%)
Nicolle Caliari
1-2UFC Record
Sub (60%)
Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency60%
Takedown Defense68%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Iasmin Lucindo
Nicolle Caliari

Iasmin Lucindo and Nicolle Caliari have both found the same nasty way to end a fight: an arm triangle from side control. Lucindo caught Polyana Viana with it, and Caliari used it against Shauna Bannon. That shared threat gives UFC 333 a fun question: what happens when neither woman can treat a bad position as somewhere safe to rest? Lucindo comes back off a unanimous decision over Angela Hill, having lost a unanimous decision to Amanda Lemos before that.

Key Storylines
  • Lucindo returns after a long gap following her Angela Hill win
  • Caliari brings a submission rebound after her painful loss to Judice
  • Matching arm triangle wins meet a very different battle for range
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to break open in round 2, when repeated efforts to close the distance can turn orderly exchanges into messy clinches and scrambles.

The long gap since that Hill fight puts her return under the spotlight, while Caliari arrives with the Bannon submission behind her. That was a big response after Carli Judice stopped her with a knee to the body in round 3. Here's the thing: Lucindo has 66 inches of reach to Caliari's 62, and both fight orthodox. Lucindo needs to make that extra space matter with straight shots and clean exits; Caliari needs to get closer without walking through unanswered punches.

If they tie up or hit the mat, the important battle is for position before the squeeze, because both have already turned side control into trouble. Both women are currently unranked, and another win would give either one something solid to build on. The question is whether Lucindo can find her rhythm after the break while Caliari tries to carry the momentum from Bannon into a different range problem.

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Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Stats Comparison

Age
24
•
29
Height
5'3" (160 cm)
•
5'3" (160 cm)
Weight
115 lbs (52 kg)
•
115 lbs (52 kg)
Reach
66" (168 cm)
•
62" (157 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Iasmin Lucindo averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Nicolle Caliari sits at 2.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Iasmin Lucindo and Nicolle Caliari, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Lucindo vs Caliari odds

Live Polymarket odds for Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Lucindo vs Caliari

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Lucindo vs Caliari: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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