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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
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Alberto Montes steps into the Octagon with zero UFC fights on his record, earning his shot as "The Promise." Across from him is Ricky Turcios, a Team Alpha Male product who's been through the wars lately. Turcios is riding a rough stretch, dropping back to back losses with the most recent being a unanimous decision to Benardo Sopaj at UFC 311 in January. Before that, Raul Rosas Jr. caught him with a rear naked choke in the second round. The Team Alpha Male fighter showed he can hang with tough competition, but the results haven't gone his way. This is a classic crossroads fight.
Expect Turcios to push the pace early, testing Montes' nerves in that crucial first round when debut jitters hit hardest.
Turcios needs to get back in the win column badly, and facing a UFC newcomer is exactly the kind of opportunity he's looking for. The guy can push a crazy pace when he's on. Look at that Kevin Natividad fight back in 2022 where he landed 170 strikes and went the distance for a split decision win. When Turcios is flowing, he throws volume and keeps guys uncomfortable. But consistency has been the issue.
Montes walks in with everything to gain and nothing to lose. No UFC tape means Turcios is preparing blind to some degree. The newcomer gets to make his first impression on the biggest stage in MMA, and you know he's been dreaming about this moment. Turcios has the experience edge, but can he handle the unknown against a hungry fighter making his debut?
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Unlock full analysisAlberto Montes finish map
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Alberto Montes breakdown
Alberto Montes's recent form
Alberto Montes steps into the Octagon with zero UFC fights on his record, earning his shot as "The Promise." Across from him is Ricky Turcios, a Team Alpha Male product who's been through the wars lately. Turcios is riding a rough stretch, dropping back to back losses with the most recent being a unanimous decision to Benardo Sopaj at UFC 311 in January. Before that, Raul Rosas Jr. caught him with a rear naked choke in the second round. The Team Alpha Male fighter showed he can hang with tough competition, but the results haven't gone his way. This is a classic crossroads fight.
Expect Turcios to push the pace early, testing Montes' nerves in that crucial first round when debut jitters hit hardest.
Turcios needs to get back in the win column badly, and facing a UFC newcomer is exactly the kind of opportunity he's looking for. The guy can push a crazy pace when he's on. Look at that Kevin Natividad fight back in 2022 where he landed 170 strikes and went the distance for a split decision win. When Turcios is flowing, he throws volume and keeps guys uncomfortable. But consistency has been the issue.
Montes walks in with everything to gain and nothing to lose. No UFC tape means Turcios is preparing blind to some degree. The newcomer gets to make his first impression on the biggest stage in MMA, and you know he's been dreaming about this moment. Turcios has the experience edge, but can he handle the unknown against a hungry fighter making his debut?
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Unlock full analysisRicky Turcios finish map
Ricky Turcios breakdown
Ricky Turcios's recent form
Pace delta
+0.3 significant strikes/min
Alberto Montes averages 5.0 significant strikes per minute while Ricky Turcios sits at 4.7.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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