Diyar NurgozhayvsRafael Tobias

Both times he actually looked decent on the feet and even hit a takedown against Satybaldiev, but once things hit the mat, he got finished. That's a scary pattern for a southpaw from Kazakhstan who fights out of Tobet Top Team. Tobias is the total mystery here. No UFC fights means we're all guessing what version shows up Saturday night. Does that "Bipolar" nickname hint at wild swings in his fighting style?

Is he gonna come out guns blazing or try to be tactical? Nurgozhay needs this one badly after dropping two straight, and he's shown he can land strikes and get takedowns. But if this hits the ground and Tobias has any submission skills, we might see that losing streak hit three.