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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Two southpaw lightweights who've been throwing down in the Octagon for years are finally meeting up. Drew Dober just bounced back from a rough stretch with a third round TKO over Kyle Prepolec last October in Vancouver, getting back to what he does best. Michael Johnson's been on a tear lately, winning three straight including a nasty knockout of Ottman Azaitar in Tampa and a decision over Daniel Zellhuber at UFC 318 in New Orleans. The Menace is looking dangerous again at 39 years old. Here's the thing about this matchup.
Expect the heat to turn up in round two when both guys find their range and someone's chin gets tested.
Both guys are pure strikers who love to stand and trade, and neither one is known for backing down. Dober's got that heavy southpaw power and comes forward like a truck. Johnson's got slick boxing, throws crazy volume, and that left hand has put people to sleep before. When you get two southpaws who both want to bang, someone's getting caught clean. Dober's had some tough losses recently, dropping fights to Manuel Torres, Jean Silva, and Renato Moicano before getting back on track.
Johnson's riding high with momentum and confidence after three wins in a row. The experience edge goes to Johnson with way more UFC fights under his belt, but Dober's always game and hits like a mule. This one's got fireworks written all over it because neither guy is going to try and wrestle their way to a decision.
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Michael Johnson finish map
Michael Johnson breakdown
Michael Johnson's recent form
Two southpaw lightweights who've been throwing down in the Octagon for years are finally meeting up. Drew Dober just bounced back from a rough stretch with a third round TKO over Kyle Prepolec last October in Vancouver, getting back to what he does best. Michael Johnson's been on a tear lately, winning three straight including a nasty knockout of Ottman Azaitar in Tampa and a decision over Daniel Zellhuber at UFC 318 in New Orleans. The Menace is looking dangerous again at 39 years old. Here's the thing about this matchup.
Expect the heat to turn up in round two when both guys find their range and someone's chin gets tested.
Both guys are pure strikers who love to stand and trade, and neither one is known for backing down. Dober's got that heavy southpaw power and comes forward like a truck. Johnson's got slick boxing, throws crazy volume, and that left hand has put people to sleep before. When you get two southpaws who both want to bang, someone's getting caught clean. Dober's had some tough losses recently, dropping fights to Manuel Torres, Jean Silva, and Renato Moicano before getting back on track.
Johnson's riding high with momentum and confidence after three wins in a row. The experience edge goes to Johnson with way more UFC fights under his belt, but Dober's always game and hits like a mule. This one's got fireworks written all over it because neither guy is going to try and wrestle their way to a decision.
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Drew Dober finish map
Drew Dober breakdown
Drew Dober's recent form
Pace delta
+0.2 significant strikes/min
Drew Dober averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Michael Johnson sits at 4.3.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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