How AgentMMA breaks down Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon
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Noah Gugnon
Blue CornerNoah Gugnon needed just 1:21 to get his latest win, and Kody Steele also arrives with a nasty submission fresh in the memory. Put those two on UFC 333 and the obvious question is what happens when neither man can afford to give away a position. That first scramble could have everyone leaning toward the screen. Gugnon finished his August fight with a rear naked choke in round 1.
- Gugnon brings an August choke that was over at 1:21.
- Steele's May heel hook puts his decision defeat behind him.
- Equal reach, different ground threats, and no room for lazy transitions.
The fight is most likely to break open in round 1, because both men arrive off wins in that round and the first scramble could expose an opening.
Steele got his May win with a heel hook at 3:56, also in round 1, after a unanimous decision defeat. The interesting bit is how different those threats are: one needs access to the back, while the other can make a loose leg a serious problem. Both fight orthodox and have a reach of 71 inches, so the measurements offer no simple answer about who gets to work comfortably from distance. If Gugnon pursues the back, he has to watch where his legs end up; if Steele attacks a leg, he has to protect his own back during the transition.
Getting a position is one thing, but keeping it without opening another door is the real test here. Neither man is ranked, making this a chance to build momentum rather than defend a spot near the top. Can they stay patient when that tempting opening appears, or does the first scramble turn into a frantic fight for control?
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Kody Steele
Kody Steele finish map

UFC Record Breakdown
Kody Steele breakdown
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Kody Steele's recent form
Noah Gugnon needed just 1:21 to get his latest win, and Kody Steele also arrives with a nasty submission fresh in the memory. Put those two on UFC 333 and the obvious question is what happens when neither man can afford to give away a position. That first scramble could have everyone leaning toward the screen. Gugnon finished his August fight with a rear naked choke in round 1.
- Gugnon brings an August choke that was over at 1:21.
- Steele's May heel hook puts his decision defeat behind him.
- Equal reach, different ground threats, and no room for lazy transitions.
The fight is most likely to break open in round 1, because both men arrive off wins in that round and the first scramble could expose an opening.
Steele got his May win with a heel hook at 3:56, also in round 1, after a unanimous decision defeat. The interesting bit is how different those threats are: one needs access to the back, while the other can make a loose leg a serious problem. Both fight orthodox and have a reach of 71 inches, so the measurements offer no simple answer about who gets to work comfortably from distance. If Gugnon pursues the back, he has to watch where his legs end up; if Steele attacks a leg, he has to protect his own back during the transition.
Getting a position is one thing, but keeping it without opening another door is the real test here. Neither man is ranked, making this a chance to build momentum rather than defend a spot near the top. Can they stay patient when that tempting opening appears, or does the first scramble turn into a frantic fight for control?
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Loading secure checkout…Noah Gugnon finish map

UFC Record Breakdown
Noah Gugnon breakdown
Performance Breakdown
Noah Gugnon's recent form










