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UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026In 31 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Aaron Pico 3.9 SLpM, Losene Keita 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Aaron Pico 44%, Losene Keita 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Aaron Pico 2.4 abs/min, Losene Keita 4.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Aaron Pico 66%, Losene Keita —
  • Takedown Defense: Aaron Pico —, Losene Keita 100%
  • Submission Threat: Aaron Pico —, Losene Keita —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Aaron Pico
Losene Keita

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Aaron Pico
1-1UFC Record
Decision (67%)
Losses (33%)
Losene Keita
1-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (67%)
Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency66%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Aaron Pico
Losene Keita

Fans are still talking about Losene Keita stopping Muhammad Naimov with a punch in the opening round, and now he gets Aaron Pico at UFC 333. Pico just answered a nasty loss with a unanimous decision over Patricio Pitbull, so both men arrive with something to prove. This one could get wild in a hurry. Remember when Lerone Murphy caught Pico with that spinning back elbow?

Key Storylines
  • Pico answered Murphy's spinning elbow with a gritty Pitbull decision
  • Keita asked for a ranked opponent and got Pico
  • Keita has the longer reach, Pico brings the takedown threat
Finishing Window

The fight could open up at the first fence exchange, when Pico tries to close the gap and Keita needs room to strike.

Pico had to live with that result before beating Pitbull over the distance, while Keita went from a split decision loss to Nathaniel Wood to stopping Naimov. Keita then said he was ready to face a ranked featherweight, and Pico sits at #12, so there is more at stake here than an exciting pairing on the card. Here's the thing: Pico got takedowns even against Murphy, and that threat can make a striker hesitate before throwing the next shot. Keita has a 72 inch reach to Pico's 70, giving him space to work if he can stay off the fence and stop Pico from closing the gap.

Pico needs to get inside safely, while Keita needs to make him pay for every step forward without giving up his hips. The real question is whether Keita can make his extra reach count once Pico starts mixing punches with takedown attempts. Watch what happens when they first get stuck along the fence; neither man will have much room to reset.

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Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Stats Comparison

Age
30
28
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Aaron Pico and Losene Keita, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Pico vs Keita odds

Live Polymarket odds for Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Pico vs Keita

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Pico vs Keita: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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