AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Grant Dawson's coming off back-to-back wins after that brutal Bobby Green knockout in 2023, and he's looking to keep the momentum rolling. The American Top Team grinder just went the distance with Diego Ferreira at UFC 311, landing 195 strikes and controlling the fight for over 10 minutes. Meanwhile, Manuel Torres is riding high after that nasty knockout of Drew Dober in March - just 1:45 into the first round, El Loco was throwing bombs on the ground and got the finish. Here's the thing though - Torres has been wild inconsistent. Yeah, he's got three first-round finishes in his last four UFC wins, but that knockout loss to Ignacio Bahamondes at UFC 306 showed he can get caught when things get crazy.
Dawson's the opposite - dude's a grinder who'll drag you into deep water. He's landed 77% of his strikes against Solecki, went 3-for-3 on takedowns, and controlled that fight for nearly 14 minutes. This is a classic wrestler-grappler versus explosive finisher matchup. Torres throws heat and hunts for the finish early - all four of his UFC wins came in round one. But if Dawson survives that early storm and starts mixing in his wrestling, Torres hasn't shown he can handle that pace for 15 minutes.
Dawson's switch stance gives him different looks, and he's got the cardio to keep pressing. For Dawson, it's about climbing back into contention at 155. For Torres, it's proving that Dober knockout wasn't a fluke and he belongs in the rankings conversation.


UFC Record Breakdown
If Torres is gonna get it done, it's happening in the first five minutes - after that, Dawson's pressure and wrestling take over.

Manuel Torres finish map

Manuel Torres breakdown
Grant Dawson's coming off back-to-back wins after that brutal Bobby Green knockout in 2023, and he's looking to keep the momentum rolling. The American Top Team grinder just went the distance with Diego Ferreira at UFC 311, landing 195 strikes and controlling the fight for over 10 minutes. Meanwhile, Manuel Torres is riding high after that nasty knockout of Drew Dober in March - just 1:45 into the first round, El Loco was throwing bombs on the ground and got the finish. Here's the thing though - Torres has been wild inconsistent. Yeah, he's got three first-round finishes in his last four UFC wins, but that knockout loss to Ignacio Bahamondes at UFC 306 showed he can get caught when things get crazy.
Dawson's the opposite - dude's a grinder who'll drag you into deep water. He's landed 77% of his strikes against Solecki, went 3-for-3 on takedowns, and controlled that fight for nearly 14 minutes. This is a classic wrestler-grappler versus explosive finisher matchup. Torres throws heat and hunts for the finish early - all four of his UFC wins came in round one. But if Dawson survives that early storm and starts mixing in his wrestling, Torres hasn't shown he can handle that pace for 15 minutes.
Dawson's switch stance gives him different looks, and he's got the cardio to keep pressing. For Dawson, it's about climbing back into contention at 155. For Torres, it's proving that Dober knockout wasn't a fluke and he belongs in the rankings conversation.
If Torres is gonna get it done, it's happening in the first five minutes - after that, Dawson's pressure and wrestling take over.

Grant Dawson finish map

Grant Dawson breakdown
Pace delta
+4.7 significant strikes/min
Manuel Torres averages 7.9 significant strikes per minute while Grant Dawson sits at 3.2.
AI confidence
86%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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AI War Room Preview
AgentMMA's models flagged a high-confidence edge in this matchup. Unlock the full breakdown, confidence grade, and staking plan for Manuel Torres vs Grant Dawson.
Confidence grade revealed inside