UFC Record Breakdown
Rafael Fiziev needs this one bad. After dropping three straight including that brutal ground and pound loss to Mauricio Ruffy in Sydney, the Kazakh striker is staring down a slide he can't afford. Meanwhile, Manuel Torres is riding high, fresh off starching Grant Dawson in under three minutes back in December. El Loco has been on an absolute tear, finishing four of his last five UFC fights in the first round. That Drew Dober knockout in Mexico City? Nasty.
Expect fireworks early because neither guy likes to feel things out and Torres especially hunts for the finish from the opening bell.
The kid hits like a truck and doesn't waste time. Here's the thing though. Fiziev just got a decision win over Ignacio Bahamondes in Baku last June, landing 87 strikes and going 4 for 4 on takedowns. Yeah, he's been in wars with Gaethje twice and that leg injury against Gamrot still haunts him, but the dude can still bang. Torres is the younger, hungrier fighter with momentum, but he's also got that one round loss to Bahamondes on his record from UFC 306. Both these switch stance strikers from Tiger Muay Thai and Entram Gym love to throw heat.
This main event in Baku on June 27 is all about who can impose their game first. Fiziev's got the experience and technical polish, but Torres brings that wild Mexican energy and finishing instinct. Fans are split on this one. Can Fiziev's veteran savvy slow down the Torres freight train, or is El Loco about to announce himself as a real lightweight problem? Someone's getting sparked.
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Manuel Torres finish map

Manuel Torres breakdown
Manuel Torres's recent form
Rafael Fiziev needs this one bad. After dropping three straight including that brutal ground and pound loss to Mauricio Ruffy in Sydney, the Kazakh striker is staring down a slide he can't afford. Meanwhile, Manuel Torres is riding high, fresh off starching Grant Dawson in under three minutes back in December. El Loco has been on an absolute tear, finishing four of his last five UFC fights in the first round. That Drew Dober knockout in Mexico City? Nasty.
Expect fireworks early because neither guy likes to feel things out and Torres especially hunts for the finish from the opening bell.
The kid hits like a truck and doesn't waste time. Here's the thing though. Fiziev just got a decision win over Ignacio Bahamondes in Baku last June, landing 87 strikes and going 4 for 4 on takedowns. Yeah, he's been in wars with Gaethje twice and that leg injury against Gamrot still haunts him, but the dude can still bang. Torres is the younger, hungrier fighter with momentum, but he's also got that one round loss to Bahamondes on his record from UFC 306. Both these switch stance strikers from Tiger Muay Thai and Entram Gym love to throw heat.
This main event in Baku on June 27 is all about who can impose their game first. Fiziev's got the experience and technical polish, but Torres brings that wild Mexican energy and finishing instinct. Fans are split on this one. Can Fiziev's veteran savvy slow down the Torres freight train, or is El Loco about to announce himself as a real lightweight problem? Someone's getting sparked.
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Grant Dawson finish map

Grant Dawson breakdown
Grant Dawson's recent form
Pace delta
+4.7 significant strikes/min
Manuel Torres averages 7.9 significant strikes per minute while Grant Dawson sits at 3.2.
AI confidence
86%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Manuel Torres vs Grant Dawson odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.