AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Marvin Vettori's closing out a rough 2025 campaign, and he needs this one bad. The Italian Dream is riding a three-fight skid after dropping decisions to Brendan Allen, Roman Dolidze (in a five-rounder), and Jared Cannonier. That's three straight losses to top guys, and fans are starting to wonder if Vettori's elite days are behind him. Meanwhile, Brunno Ferreira is coming in hot with back-to-back finishes - that nasty armbar over Armen Petrosyan at UFC 313 and another armbar against Jackson McVey at UFC 318. The Hulk's got four wins in his last five, and he's hunting for a ranked scalp.
Here's the thing - this is a dangerous style matchup for Vettori. Ferreira's got legit power and slick submissions, but he got caught by Abus Magomedov with an arm triangle back in October 2024. Vettori's a grinder who pushes a crazy pace and throws volume, but he's been getting outworked lately. He landed 106 strikes against Dolidze in their first fight back in 2023, but couldn't get it done in the rematch. The Italian's wrestling hasn't been there either - zero takedowns in multiple recent fights.
Ferreira's finishing instincts are scary. That spinning back elbow that slept Dustin Stoltzfus showed he's got one-shot power, and those armbars prove he's dangerous everywhere. Vettori needs to pressure without getting caught, but when you're desperate for a win, that's when mistakes happen.


UFC Record Breakdown
Ferreira's most dangerous in round one when he's fresh and hunting for that early finish, but if Vettori survives the early storm, his relentless pace could break The Hulk down late.

Brunno Ferreira finish map

Brunno Ferreira breakdown
Marvin Vettori's closing out a rough 2025 campaign, and he needs this one bad. The Italian Dream is riding a three-fight skid after dropping decisions to Brendan Allen, Roman Dolidze (in a five-rounder), and Jared Cannonier. That's three straight losses to top guys, and fans are starting to wonder if Vettori's elite days are behind him. Meanwhile, Brunno Ferreira is coming in hot with back-to-back finishes - that nasty armbar over Armen Petrosyan at UFC 313 and another armbar against Jackson McVey at UFC 318. The Hulk's got four wins in his last five, and he's hunting for a ranked scalp.
Here's the thing - this is a dangerous style matchup for Vettori. Ferreira's got legit power and slick submissions, but he got caught by Abus Magomedov with an arm triangle back in October 2024. Vettori's a grinder who pushes a crazy pace and throws volume, but he's been getting outworked lately. He landed 106 strikes against Dolidze in their first fight back in 2023, but couldn't get it done in the rematch. The Italian's wrestling hasn't been there either - zero takedowns in multiple recent fights.
Ferreira's finishing instincts are scary. That spinning back elbow that slept Dustin Stoltzfus showed he's got one-shot power, and those armbars prove he's dangerous everywhere. Vettori needs to pressure without getting caught, but when you're desperate for a win, that's when mistakes happen.
Ferreira's most dangerous in round one when he's fresh and hunting for that early finish, but if Vettori survives the early storm, his relentless pace could break The Hulk down late.

Marvin Vettori finish map

Marvin Vettori breakdown
Pace delta
+1.3 significant strikes/min
Marvin Vettori averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Brunno Ferreira sits at 3.4.
AI confidence
93%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
