Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Dec 6, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Mairon Santos

Record: 18-1-0

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Muhammad Naimov

Record: 13-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mairon Santos

Muhammad Naimov

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mairon Santos

Muhammad Naimov

Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Mairon Santos

KO/TKO (50%)

Decision (50%)

Muhammad Naimov

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (44%)

Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Mairon Santos

Muhammad Naimov

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From opening bell, Mairon Santos can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.5 significant strikes per minute while Muhammad Naimov looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:4

Mairon Santos

Mairon Santos finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (50%)

Decision (50%)

Mairon Santos breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ85%

Mairon Santos's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Muhammad Naimov must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Muhammad Naimov owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (30%) but must solve the 50% sprawl from Mairon Santos.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Muhammad Naimov

Muhammad Naimov finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (44%)

Losses (27%)

Muhammad Naimov breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Muhammad Naimov's recent form

Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

72" (183 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Mairon Santos averages 3.5 significant strikes per minute while Muhammad Naimov sits at 2.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Mairon Santos
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	4-0-0	4-0-0
Wins inside the distance	2 (50%)	2 (50%)
KO/TKO wins	2	2
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	11:43	11:43
Total strikes landed per min	5.20	5.20
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	0.00
Control time per 15 min	0:02	0:02

Muhammad Naimov
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	2-3-0	5-3-0
Wins inside the distance	0 (0%)	2 (40%)
KO/TKO wins	0	2
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	10:54	9:47
Total strikes landed per min	4.65	4.65
Takedowns landed per 15 min	1.37	1.37
Control time per 15 min	3:52	3:52

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Mairon Santos 1/4, Muhammad Naimov 3/8.

Mairon Santos and Muhammad Naimov: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

Opponent	Mairon Santos	Muhammad Naimov
Kaan Ofli	Win KO/TKO, R2 · Aug 2024	Win Decision – Unanimous · Feb 2025

Previous meetings

Mairon Santos: Win KO/TKO, R3 · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 2025

Mairon Santos: last 5 UFC fights

WinMuhammad NaimovKO/TKO, R3· UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 2025
WinSodiq YusuffDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 2025
WinFrancis MarshallDecision – Split· UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 2025
WinKaan OfliKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 2024

Muhammad Naimov: last 5 UFC fights

LossLosene KeitaKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Sep 2026
LossMairon SantosKO/TKO, R3· UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 2025
WinBogdan GradDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 2025
WinKaan OfliDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 2025
LossFelipe LimaSubmission, R3· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Mairon Santos and Muhammad Naimov, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Santos vs Naimov odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Santos vs Naimov

Mairon Santos vs Muhammad Naimov is on the UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 card on Dec 6, 2025 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Santos vs Naimov: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.